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Process
Performance Indices1
by
Thomas Pyzdek
Some have advocated computing
the process capability indices even when the process is not in a state
of statistical control. Although the formulas used are the same, the standard
deviation used is not based on the control chart. Instead the formula
for the standard deviation used is the one shown in the equation below.

When this analysis is
performed on processes that are not in statistical control the indices
are called process performance indices (PPIs). They cannot properly be
called process capability indices (PCIs) since when s is computed from
the equation above, it includes variability from special causes of variation
as well as variation from common causes. When the special causes are identified
and eliminated the process will do better, which implies that the process
capability is better than the process performance index indicates.
A PPI is intended to show how the process actually
performed, rather than how well it can perform under properly controlled
conditions. Thus, in a sense, PPIs are designed to describe the past while
PCIs are designed to predict the future. The difference between a PPI
and its corresponding PCI is a measure of the potential improvement possible
from eliminating special causes.
I have serious reservations about using PPIs. First
of all, if the process is not in a state of statistical control the future
cant be predicted from the past, thats what statistical control
means! An out-of-control process has no underlying distribution, it is
a mixture of distributions in unknown proportions. And since the special
causes are unknown, there is no basis for predicting which distribution
will appear next or how long it will last. PPIs assume the process distribution
is normal, even though we dont even have a process distribution!
That being the case, whats the point of a PPI?
So what if a PPI indicated that for a particular run the process met the
requirements, or didnt? Since the future cant be predicted,
the only possible reason for caring is the quality of the current production
lot. Using a PPI to estimate lot quality is futile because of the vagaries
of estimating parameters with statistics, fitting curves, finding the
relationship between the specification zone and the performance statistics
distribution, etc. Even the much maligned acceptance sampling approach
provides a much better way to estimate the quality of a production lot
from an out of control process than a PPI. And a simple, but expensive,
sorting operation will tell you exactly what it did.
Ascribing meaning to an
index, either a PPI or a PCI, always depends implicitly on knowing the
underlying distribution. This knowledge can be based on engineering knowledge
(preferably) or on empirical evidence. However, if the process is not
in control then, by definition, there is no "distribution" per
se. There are two or more distributions mixed together. The causes of
the distributions are not generally known for out-of-control processes.
Given the difficulties associated with capability analysis of homogeneous
output, analysis with unknown proportions of output from unknown distributions
is virtually impossible.
If PCIs suffer because they only measure process capability
indirectly, how much worse are PPIs which cant even be indirectly
related to yields. This is because they are computed from data that represent
a mixture of several unknown process distributions. To compute the yield,
you would need to know the characteristics of each separate process and
their representation in the sample. If you knew that, you could probably
identify what the special causes were and you could remove them, achieve
a state of statistical control, and compute a PCI instead of a PPI.
It is best to spend your time finding and correcting
the special causes; then you wont need to use PPIs.
1 Thomas Pyzdek, "Process
Capability Analysis using Personal Computers," Quality Engineering,
4, No. 3, (1992), 432-433.
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